Recently, when asked what the climate emergency consisted of, a scientist gave the excellent answer: “Look, the climate emergency is this, you increasingly see on your mobile more videos related to extreme weather events, and when you realize, it’s you who are recording one of those events.” Drought, fires, floods. The day before yesterday Indonesia or Pakistan, yesterday Canada or Australia, today Mediterranean, tomorrow…
It cannot be said that the alarms were not turned on. Without going any further, in the report The State of the Climate 2023, the scientific community said: “Time is over, we are seeing the appearance of the ads and serious scenes of suffering are taking place. We fear the unknown dimension to which we have agreed. We will soon see the failure of the 1.5 degree target of the Paris Agreement.” The latter, said and done. The year 2024 will be the first to overcome the 1.5 degree heating barrier for an entire year.
We already know that if we don't do a lot of things, we won't succeed. Prevention, mitigation (reduction of emissions) and adaptation to consequences, all at once
The knowledge that we are in the age of consequences, however, does not prepare us for what is coming, because what is scientifically true has no automatic political effects. That is why those of us who are listening these days, “I said”, “I warned”, and who implicitly, “nobody listened to me”, do not contribute too much, beyond burdening the ego of what it says. On the contrary, to the extent that the approach to climate emergency requires multiple and uncomfortable measures, many political and cultural struggles must be produced and won.
And it's not easy to make a hierarchy about measures. What action to take and in what order. I am less and less relying on the tendency to simplify complex problems, which says “this is what needs to be done first”. We already know that if we don't do a lot of things, we won't succeed. Prevention, mitigation (reduction of emissions) and adaptation to consequences at the same time. If we don't use and incorporate warning systems, we deploy a preventive culture, we improve emergency coordination, we revise territorial and urban planning, we stop smoking fossils, we switch to renewables, we promote nearby food, we skip to public transport, we adapt infrastructure policy to what comes next or we end with the expansive logic of capital, we won't succeed. All at once. There is no disregard for a measure. And, above all, to reject measures that are effective, not using excuses that may be better.
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