We have not taken the hangover from the elections and we are once again in the middle of the campaign. The general elections of the Spanish State have already passed. The PSOE has gained forcefully, demonstrating that Pedro Sánchez was the one who managed to advance the elections. He read well the line established by the Andalusian tripartite agreement of the right and the polarization that established the risk of extending this alliance to the entire state.
In the campaign everyone followed that game, dancing in the melody played by Vox, which has been very damaging to the People’s Party (PP). Next month, on the Spanish right there will be movements to follow closely all political communication analysts and all supporters of the strategy. Vox takes the head out of the headlines; Citizens will continue to delve into his reactionary, right-wing and centralizing speech to get the surprise and win the leadership of the right; and pp will try to regain himself after the coup received and recover the false moderation of a season. To get Lartxo in a month.
In Hego Euskal Herria and Catalonia the results of the leftist parties Abertzale and the independentists have been very positive. At a time when
Spanish policy is absolutely awaited, it was difficult to look from the Madrid Cottage
Although the framework is entirely state, in Hego Euskal Herria and Catalonia the independentists and nationalists have achieved very good results. The general election has always been a difficult place, playing outside the house, and that doubles the merit. At a time when Spanish policy is absolutely startled, it was difficult to look up from the squash of Madrid. In front of the right and fascism, seeing local parties as effective instruments is very important. Jeltzales remain the first force of the CAV and the 6 seats obtained appear in all quinielas as one of Sánchez's support options. As for the numbers, the 19 seats obtained by the ERC-EH Bildu alliance are the only ones that give the absolute majority to the sum of the PSOE and Podemos. The PSOE environment has already expressed its willingness to continue to govern alone. That is why the independence parties will have to play the game before the investiture and in order to enable the government of Sánchez the minorities will have to be established now. Once the investiture has been approved, the path to seek support for Sánchez is greatly facilitated.
However, the impact of these elections cannot be limited to analysing how they will affect the composition of the Spanish Government. The municipal and foreign elections will be held in less than a month, and what is even more decisive: We are on the verge of the elections to the Parliament of Navarre. It is well known that the voting criteria are being changed, but the fact that the distance between the two election dates was so short, favoured the Spanish parties a priori.
Despite the fact that the elections are very different, the results we have in the State serve, at least, to analyse trends. The Spanish coalition Navarra Suma, despite being the most voted force, has lost many votes, while EH Bildu and Geroa Bai are on the rise and have demonstrated their ability to take advantage of Podemos’s loss of votes. Faced with the quadripartite government of change in Navarre, the situation of Podemos was very worrying. That is why it is a good thing that those votes that were activated politically four years ago are allocated to options other than those of the PSOE. It seems that this is where EH Bildu is going to have the biggest challenge in all of Hego Euskal Herria. In any case, all the analyses show very tight results in Navarre and the key is the activation of the votes of both territories. They're coming weeks that won't bother us. We will follow closely, enjoy and suffer.
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