About half a million deaths, millions of displaced persons and countless information manipulations have left the hybrid wars in Syria. External factors explain much of what has happened in Syria. The West and its allies have made a hybrid war on Syria. However, this cannot be built from scratch, for this it requires an initiator of internal factors. Three internal factors played against Syria.
The first one is long-lasting. Although the Syrian Arab Republic is formally non-confessional, in practice it operates as a diverse and highly tolerant confessional State. The problem is that a minority of Sunnis (about 20 per cent of the population) supports the confession of the state as a Sunni Muslim. To this end, in the second half of the twentieth century, the Muslim Brothers made two uprisings and in 2011 they achieved the third thanks to the other two factors.
Most of the 2011 protests were sectoral in nature and not regime change. But soon the Muslim Brotherhood and, in general, radical Islamism coopted them and used them for rebellion. The West, Turkey and the monarchies of the Persian Gulf quickly armed and financially supported several groups. Since then, many of those involved in the protests have gradually been defending the Syrian Arab Republic.
The second factor is directly related to the neoliberal measures taken by the Syrian Government at the beginning of the twenty-first century, beginning to distance itself from the socializing economy it had had until then. The country was weakened and isolated in the Middle East, due to the hegemony gained by Israel and the United States. The Americans included him on the axis of Evil and, as General Wesley Clark explained in his speeches in 2007, what happened to Syria could happen at any time. Then, thanks to the documents filtered by Wikileaks, we know that in 2006 the United States was planning a regime change in Syria. It is not known whether the main thrust of the neoliberal measures taken by Syria with the support of the World Bank was the desire to confront international isolation or the political conviction to change the economy. In any case, these measures generated socioeconomic and political discontent when the third factor appeared. When the Syrian State withdrew large amounts of aid for agricultural production, a severe drought began in 2007 and lasted for ten years. One of the pillars of the Syrian economy is the primary sector, which accounts for 20 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the backbone of exports.
Most of the 2011 protests were sectoral in nature and not regime change. But soon the Muslim Brotherhood and, in general, radical Islamism coopted them and used them for rebellion. The West, Turkey and the monarchies of the Persian Gulf quickly armed and financially supported several groups. Since then, many of those who participated in the protests have gradually been defending the Syrian Arab Republic through, among others, a government of concentration formed by the government and the opposition.
In the short term, Syria is going to win the war, but in the long term a kind of reinforcement of the factors that facilitated the crisis can be envisaged. The money that will be provided by the country ' s allies for reconstruction will lead to an increase in external debt, which will damage sovereignty. Moreover, the lack of funding will prevent the Administration from reaching all locations to undertake reconstruction work. Since the Syrian State is not going to recover in the short term the capacity it had before the crisis, it has to leave the space for private initiative to accelerate the reconstruction and restoration of services. Finally, although the Islamist extremists have not achieved their goals, they will be more prepared for the next battle, thanks, among other things, to their relationship and collaboration with the West, Turkey and the monarchies of the Persian Gulf.
Bidali zure iritzi artikuluak iritzia@argia.eus helbide elektronikora
ARGIAk ez du zertan bat etorri artikuluen edukiarekin. Idatzien gehienezko luzera 4.500 karakterekoa da (espazioak barne). Idazkera aldetik gutxieneko zuzentasun bat beharrezkoa da: batetik, ARGIAk ezin du hartu zuzenketa sakona egiteko lanik; bestetik, egitekotan edukia nahi gabe aldatzeko arriskua dago. ARGIAk azaleko zuzenketak edo moldaketak egingo dizkie artikuluei, behar izanez gero.
I don't want my daughter disguising herself as a Gypsy in the caldereros. I don’t want Gypsy children at my daughter’s school to dress up as Gypsies in caldereros. Because being a gypsy is not a disguise. Because being a gypsy is not a party that takes place once a year, with... [+]
The road goes by steps, and I learned a little while ago that it seems to have already begun. But people also want to learn to fill that sentence with content. Alone we could achieve little, maybe even resignation as soon as we started. Gathering huge crowds can also complicate... [+]
Ez zuen egoki jokatu, neurriak hartu behar ziren, bestela, ez dugu ikasten. Itxuraz, ez zen ohartzen egindakoaren inpaktuaz, normal jarraitzen zuen, batzuetan, ingurukoek baino itxura zoriontsuagoz. Gainera, altuegi hitz egiten du, hori ez zaio inori gustatzen. Darabiltzan... [+]
The Department of Education doesn't understand why public employees have gone on strike. He's got to ask the LAB Syndicate. This union signed an agreement with the department in April 2023. Two years later they have also called for a strike because, unlike the previous ones, the... [+]
Erretiratu berri den lankide-ohi baten omenez, Historiako irakaslea. Bejondeizula!
Hezkuntza-legeek azpimarratzen dute zein garrantzitsua den ikasleengan pentsamendu kritikoa sustatzea. Baina irakasle-klaustroak, garai batean ideien eztabaidarako eta proposamenak... [+]
The liberal democracy of the Western countries has a growing appearance of a minimalist democracy. At the heart of the definition would be respect for changes in government through elections. The authoritarian variant of this was called competitive authoritarianism by political... [+]
Zutabe hau idazten nengoela, gaia aldatu behar izan dut, nire arreta osoa harrapatu dutelako Trumpen muga-zergek. Azalpen gutxi beharko duzue, leku guztietan da berria, Txinako produktuei %10eko zerga eta Kanadako eta Mexikoko produktuei %25eko muga-zergak jarri dizkie. Trumpek... [+]
This wedge that the announcement on the radio Euskadi to replace the bathtub with a shower encourages the commencement of the works in the bathroom of the house. A simple work, a small investiture and a great change are announced. There has been a shift in toilet trends and a... [+]
The year 2025 will lead to a general policy of establishing shorter working weeks, bringing low costs for new hires for companies and an effective direction of change in labour relations.
With the aim of complying with the Spanish government agreement, the reform to shorten the... [+]
I received your e-mail in personal mail on the strike portals. At first, like many others, I thought it was to let you know what options we have in the face of the strike. But no, the e-mail received was a political and communicative movement against the strike.
I will confess... [+]
This weekend I've been thinking about the word 'aesthetic' in relation to a phrase said by a friend: “This work is aesthetic.” I have studied the etymology of the word aesthetic, it seems that its meaning was originally perceived through the senses, and it was later associated... [+]
The other day in Bilbao, I met a friend at the Bira bar. We were very happy at the Tar and I said: “Of course, since you’re Guipúzcoa, hahahaha.” And he insisted that he was not Guipuzcoan. Without me understanding it, I kept saying, “Ah! Is it not? You were born in New... [+]