Automatically translated from Basque, translation may contain errors. More information here. Elhuyarren itzultzaile automatikoaren logoa

Complicated five-year truce

At the time when I wrote this article, it has not yet been the second round of the French presidential elections. However, the polls suggest that Emmanuel Macron should be the new president of France. In Brussels they will be happy to have saved the second point of the year. As in the case of the Netherlands, even if traps are made on their own, the offices of the European technocrats are now going to see a haunt helping them to regain their air.

Macron is an improved version of Matteo Renzi for France, although he has no party next door, as the media and the establishment have doped him well and, as a result, he will at least come to power by winning the elections. Beyond the marketing they have made to sell Macron as a new politician, it represents the most direct way to continue with politics so far, the extreme centrism: the violent neoliberalism in the economy for the benefit of the financial world and the superficial cosmetic progressism in cultural values at the service of individualism, all adorned with Europeanism.

The bipartisan system is ill, with a 5% difference between the first four candidates for the first round of elections. Thus, the elections to the National Assembly in June, which play the third round role, can be a real headache for Macron. 577 deputies are elected in the uninominal constituencies

Joy won't last long. According to the results of the first round, both on the left and on the right, Eurosceptics and opponents of the establishment obtained 48.41% of the votes. Furthermore, between François Fillon, Benoît Hamon and Jean Lassalle achieved 27.58%, the three candidates who faced the establishment and were a little critical of the actual European Union. For his part, Macron, with the support of the factual powers, has taken 24.01% of the votes out of party logic.

The left-wing and right-wing struggle in Brussels will save the match point, as a large majority on the left will not support Marine Le Pen. However, the outcome that the candidate will draw from the National Front was unthinkable when 15 years ago Jean-Marie Le Pen and Jacques Chirac disputed the Tour of Spain.

The French electorate has validated the FN to come to power. It will probably not win in the second attempt, but if the policies so far in Paris and Brussels are followed in the next five years, the FN may not fail in the third attempt, as long as it does not compete with the insubordinate France, in this case it would be more likely to win the movements of Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

Intractable France has been the surprise of this year, and according to the surveys of the campaign it has been the political option that has grown the most as the day progresses. They have given a lesson to progressive European parties. They have refused to conceal the identity and historical claims of the Left in the name of the discourse of political expediency. Without fear, they have regained their historical claims and stitched them with new demands with the transformative program that they have spread to the four winds. Macron will therefore have tough oppositions on both the left and the right, according to Obama.

The bipartisan system is ill, with a 5% difference between the first four candidates for the first round of elections. Thus, the elections to the National Assembly in June, which play the third round role, can be a real headache for Macron. 577 Members are elected in single-name constituencies. If in the first round no one succeeds in exceeding 50% of the votes, candidates who have achieved 12.5% of the votes will be able to take part in the second round. This means that, if the Socialist Party's relocation is confirmed, in the second round four candidates will be able to compete for different constituencies. This dispersion of votes led to the V Congress of Deputies. It could bring the National Assembly with the largest parliamentary fragmentation in the Republic. In this context, it is expected that the Government that is formed will be very weak and a weak Government will form.

Bidali zure iritzi artikuluak iritzia@argia.eus helbide elektronikora

ARGIAk ez du zertan bat etorri artikuluen edukiarekin. Idatzien gehienezko luzera 4.500 karakterekoa da (espazioak barne). Idazkera aldetik gutxieneko zuzentasun bat beharrezkoa da: batetik, ARGIAk ezin du hartu zuzenketa sakona egiteko lanik; bestetik, egitekotan edukia nahi gabe aldatzeko arriskua dago. ARGIAk azaleko zuzenketak edo moldaketak egingo dizkie artikuluei, behar izanez gero.


ASTEKARIA
2017ko maiatzaren 14a
Most read
Using Matomo
#1
Gorka Peñagarikano Goikoetxea  |  Dani Blanco
#2
Gorka Bereziartua
#3
Gorka Peñagarikano Goikoetxea
#5
Gasteizkoak talde antimilitarista
Azoka
You are interested in the channel: Iritzia
Norabidea erakusten duten zenbait ohar, Aritz Otxandianori gertatutakoaren harira

Harriduraz irakurri dugu prentsan Aritz Otxandianori etxean bertan bengalekin egindako erasoaren albistea. Berak sare sozialetan eman zuen gertatutakoaren berri. Bai bera, bai bere adierazpenak jasotzen dituzten hedabideak ahalegindu dira eraso hori makro-berriztagarriei buruzko... [+]


Berwick and us

You may not know who Donald Berwick is, or why I mention him in the title of the article. The same is true, it is evident, for most of those who are participating in the current Health Pact. They don’t know what Berwick’s Triple Objective is, much less the Quadruple... [+]


Public services: paving the way for the chainsaw or clearing the forest?

The article La motosierra puede ser tentadora, written in recent days by the lawyer Larraitz Ugarte, has played an important role in a wide sector. It puts on the table some common situations within the public administration, including inefficiency, lack of responsibility and... [+]


2025-04-16 | Haritz Arabaolaza
The language of

Is it important to use a language correctly? To what extent is it so necessary to master grammar or to have a broad vocabulary? I’ve always heard the importance of language, but after thinking about it, I came to a conclusion. Thinking often involves this; reaching some... [+]


The 'favorite' places

The other day I went to a place I hadn’t visited in a long time and I liked it so much. While I was there, I felt at ease and thought: this is my favorite place. Amulet, amulet, amulet; the word turns and turns on the way home. Curiosity led me to look for it in Elhuyar and it... [+]


2025-04-16 | Rober Gutiérrez
The skills

Adolescents and young people, throughout their academic career, will receive guidance on everything and the profession for studies that will help them more than once. They should be offered guidance, as they are often full of doubts whenever they need to make important... [+]


2025-04-16 | Jon Alonso
The White Birds

It will be two or three weeks since I read it, in a column by Maialen Akizu. Aner Peritz brought with him what he said on TV: “Bertsolarismo is what has led me not to interact with zis hetero men, because bertsolarismo is what has made me dissident, and also because... [+]


2025-04-16 | Itxaro Borda
In order to survive

If that's the fear. Donald Trump seems to have come to occupy Washington’s rounded office for a long time. He has a second mandate, but to his close advisers, confirming that he is not joking, he also mentions his rigid goal of changing some isolated numbers in the Constitution... [+]


Aitonita eta ortologia

Ansorena´tar Joseba Eneko.

Edonori orto zer den galdetuz gero, goizaldea erantzungo, D´Artagnanen mosketero laguna edo ipurtzuloa, agian. Baina orto- aurrizkiak zuzen adierazten du eta maiz erabiltzen dugu: ortodoxia, ortopedia, ortodontzia... Orduan (datorrena... [+]


2025-04-16 | Bea Salaberri
Get ready for the war?

“Bag of resilience”, “survival manual”, “backpack of evacuations”: that’s what you can hear in the mouths of the authorities in recent weeks.

Among the declarations of the past month, the European Union has asked the population to prepare a “survival kit” to... [+]


2025-04-16 | Karmelo Landa
The Patriotic Opportunity

It’s not Christmas Day, it’s Christmas Day that we Basques need. Once a year there are repeated calls from potential patriotic parties and groups, on these dates, the homeland of the Basque Country is the Basque Country/Euskal Herria around the proclamation. It's a matter of a... [+]


The technology
To do or not to do

Last week I had a nice meeting with a group of women that I hadn’t seen for a long time, and we talked about doing it, linked to spaces of technology and creation.

The oldest of these women, who is on the frontier of retirement, is a programmer and enjoys programming code... [+]


2025-04-16 | Ula Iruretagoiena
Lurraldea eta arkitektura
Eraikinaren bizitza

Hainbatetan esan izan didate arkitektoen lanaren gauzarik indartsuena dela ekoizten duguna betikotu egiten dela. Eraikinaren betikotasunak gizakiaren presentzia tenporala gainditzen duela eta geroko etorkizunean iraunkor egingo gaituela. Eta liburu batekin gertatzen ez den... [+]


Eguneraketa berriak daude