When we can recognize the ETA COMMUNIQUÉ from one moment to the next, we live these days the risk that what is written will become old. Or not, as never before, because it seems that we already know what this document will say: Notification of a permanent and verifiable ceasefire, as requested by the Gernika Agreement and the Brussels Declaration, which means, among other things, an end to the demand for the revolutionary tax and other threats. Basically, that ETA also endorses the Mitchel principles.
Mamian, that's what we've been told. Now you need to see if it is fulfilled and which language template is used in the document. The interview given by Rufi Etxeberria last week on Radio Euskadi has been the certificate of what will appear and, once again, the impact of the medium on the message has been shown.
The announcement as well, and this as never before, is already preparing the next one. It will be presented by the patriotic left as proof of the path that has been travelled so far and proclaim that the unilateral path becomes a multiple peace process. Others, mainly the PSOE, have prepared the answer beforehand: it’s okay, but it’s not enough, ETA has to abandon its weapons once and for all and/or the patriotic left has to break with ETA. And then the futures.
And in the future, one of the main doubts is that of the elections, if this document and the nature of the statutes of the new party that the nationalist left will present manage to open the doors for May.
There is less doubt in the field of state repression: unfortunately, the constant raids against the patriotic left are even more predictable. On the one hand, the State uses them to tighten the nationalist left and, on the other, to protect them from the PP. But as the Patriotic Left and ETA make their moves, the famous ball is slowly heading towards the roof of the PSOE. It's time for decisions. Gestures have been going on for a long time, but not in a way that allows public opinion to imagine if it’s clearly rarefied or overlooked. And for the May elections, this must be clearly seen by Basque society. As the nationalist left takes steps, and the PSOE becomes embroiled in the scheme of repression, one of its types of voters can turn its back on it, as it had previously thanked Zapatero for his 2006 effort.
In this sense, the nationalist left is not so rushed. Even if they hurt humanly and in terms of arrest, in the scenario of ETA’s brutal violence, they can also be politically profitable, and it could happen that the repression in Madrid becomes a support for the patriotic left here.
The patriotic left has a need in other areas, such as the prison, where it will also have to take steps. That is, the Prisoner Collective will have to take steps. And probably without waiting for the steps of the Spanish government, unilateral decisions make the Madrid government less likely to blackmail prisoners.
As we have seen in the interview with Grupo Noticias, a group of inmates from the Langraiz prison are already making their way and probably what the Colectivo needs to take sooner rather than later will not be very different. The difference will be the context, because the change of degree or the request for permission will then not be seen as bad and the participation of prisoners will be more focused in this process. Today, with the course of the peace process, it is difficult to imagine a general amnesty. On the contrary, one could imagine a gradual departure after accepting certain conditions. The unimaginable is that they will stay inside.