The Socialist Party has achieved the best results ever in Catalonia. He won the last autonomous elections, tied in the seats with ERC, but was unable to complete the government (ERC pact, Junts and Comuns). The misunderstanding and lack of governance of these three led to electoral progress, which, as has been seen, has not benefited CKD.

For example, if we took the Basque elections, the PSE-EE had a percentage of votes - 14.22% - higher than the ERC - 13.7%. On the contrary, despite the preponderance of the PSC, the electoral situation in the CAV is quite different, the PNV obtained 35% of the votes and EH Bildu 32%. PSC, 28% in the 12 May elections. Voting is more widespread in Catalonia.

The distribution can be done in two blocks: the left-right axis and the independence block. They have common traits: they have suffered a decline. On the one hand, the independence bloc (Junts-ERC-CUP) has risen from 74 to 59 Members. On the other hand, the Left Bloc (ERC-Comuns-CUP) is down from 50 to 30 Members. It's a significant loss. The House will therefore go to the right and to Spain. [Read here the analysis of the journalist of Jesús Rodríguez Directo that we brought to the Basque Country].

Possible government, chaired by Illa

There are few possible formulas for agreements. Carles Puidgdemonte has said he will try to form the government, he is supposed to call the ERC, but the numbers are far away, 68 seats are the absolute majority. Joining Junts, ERC, Comuns and CUP would stay at 65.

The CSP will have to obtain 26 votes in a case of investiture of Salvador Illa, and the most realistic would be to meet with Comuns – repeat the formula of the Spanish Government and many other people – and obtain the support of ERC. One possibility might be that the ERC would also join the government, although it would have been left to see the impact this would have on its voters, or that the ERC could externally support the government of the hypothetical PSC with specific agreements. However, it would be dangerous from the point of view of governance.

The possible scenario that opens up is the re-election. The ERC will therefore have the key to the above.

Clear trends

The PP has had a sharp increase – it was at historical lows – but it was not for Vox’s account, which has also kept its voter. The newly created Aliança Catalana, far right, with xenophobic discourse, but "independentist", has won two seats.

In the last elections they achieved 20 seats between Vox, C's and PP. Now you're 28. But the Citizens party disappears. The one who was born in Catalonia, who was about to reach the Spanish Government, has come to play bottom in the place where he was born. Gets less votes than PACMA.

We can Sumar come together in these elections with a positive result of 6 seats, 5.82% of the votes obtained. Only a few tenths more, 5.59 per cent, compared with the CAV elections, which barely got one representative in the CAV.