- The forecasts of the US investment bank Goldman Sachs are that a major war or recession can be expected to stabilize the market. The events that have taken place in the market in recent years indicate that what would have upset it in another era has passed with too little buzz, in the news broadcast by the media El Confidencial.
The low volatility that the global economy is experiencing is becoming a concern for all investors and analysts. And "to end this regime of versatility, a 'shock' is necessary; a war or a recession", according to Goldman. Investment bank analysts explain that the chances of a recession are relatively low, marking a 25% probability for the next two years. In any case, it is explained that the buying movements of the investors are being noticed, motivated by the reluctance of this possible recession.
Goldman Sachs also indirectly mentions the possibility of a major war, although he does not provide much data on this. But it mentions the movements of arms companies in the stock market in recent times and the growing tensions that are unleashing internationally.