Three months have passed since the elections to the French Parliament. It was July 7, and to everyone's surprise, the New Popular Front on the left, the FHB, won. With the aim of cutting the road to the far right that was successful in the first round, in the second round the voters went to the same line as RN, confirming once again the function of "republican vote". The main reason for the victory of the left is that the extreme right is not wanted in power. By chance, many leftists have been forced to vote for the Macron party candidate to face the RN-Ensemble of the second round. Thus, the Ensemble of Macron achieved many more results in the second round than in the first round, going from third to second.
In accordance with the principles of democracy, these results led to cohabitation, that is, the appointment of a prime minister of the FHB, a majority in Parliament. V Congress of France This collaboration has been repeated several times in the Republic: Mitterrand-Chirac in 1986-1988, 1993-1995 Mitterrand-Balladur and finally 1997-2022 Chirac-Jospin. Although the exercise is not simple, that is what it means that the president’s party is at least in Parliament. Cohabitation implies, without a clear majority, the need to anticipate textually, obtaining a majority that corresponds to it. But this time it's not going to happen, because Macron is going to turn his back on the victory of the left and he's going to complete his government with the right.
Since 7 July, the days have passed, the summer has passed, and in the meantime, politics and, above all, the Olympic Games that have put this crisis in the background. The quotation, which has placed the world looking at Paris, was one of its priorities. After the Olympic Games, Macron immediately closed the door to Julie Castets, presented as a candidate on the left, to determine that he would not form a left-wing government. Macron cleared this position on 26 August. Then the leftist Castets said: "Macron, despite knowing that the French want change, is trying to continue his policy so far," he added. Worse still: "It takes voters out of the desire to go and vote and that will put them in RN Elysées in 2027 [France's next presidential election is in 2027]."
That is the case and that is the main conclusion: Once again, Macron has paved the way for development to the far right. How? In addition to passing over the vote that has cut the way to the far right, appointing the prime minister on the right, and even with the approval of the far right. On 26 August, Marine Le Pen explained to Macron that he would censure the entire FHB Government. After rejecting the proposals of the previous days (FPB candidate, Xavier Bertrand, Bernard Caseneuve…), RN has accepted the right option Michel Barnier, but under one condition: to treat the RN National Union as any other party. Once approved, Barnier, from the Republican party, will therefore be prime minister and will bring RN to the level of all the risks and limits associated with the end of the right.
In addition to the effectiveness of the Republican vote to cut the move to the extreme right, the credibility of the elections has been turned upside down. The two important elements that can facilitate the triumph of the French extreme right for the French presidency of 2027.
Barnier is not an extreme right, and Le Pen has made it clear that he is not going to take part in government, precisely for that reason. But following the will of the extreme right, Macron has left out of the government on the left, putting the necessary majority on the right and on the extreme right. Once again, the French President has taken a step further in the normalization of the extreme right in France.
RN has also launched a second petition to the new Macron Government: Implement a policy that benefits the 11 million voters on the far right. There is no doubt that it will continue to do so, because the vote of the right, including those of the extreme, is essential to achieve the majority. Macron will continue with his policy of austerity against the FHB program, as he did with the Immigration Act, which was approved at the beginning of the year with the votes of RN. Barnier is right-wing, a 73-year-old man who has long been a politician and who has recalled several laws voted in the past: in 1981 he voted against the law that meant the impunity of homosexuality, and more recently, in 2021 he retained from the seat of the European Commissioner a tough stance against migration, among other things, by betting on putting quotas on immigrants, increasing the expulsions of immigrants and a referendum on immigration.
In order to deny this designation, the Left will advocate censorship, but with Macron’s support to the right and the extreme right, Barnier’s designation will have to be unappealable.
To conclude and summarise, it can be said that Macron has overtaken the popular word twice: in reality, Macron’s policy has been clearly punished by the citizens – a reflection of this is the bad result he obtained in the first round – and it has become clear that not only do they ask for another policy, but they do not want the extreme right in power, what shows us is the victory of the Republican vote on the second round. He has gone beyond the results of the ballot box by appointing a prime minister to pursue his policy so far.
But, as if that were not enough, in addition to the effectiveness of the Republican vote to cut the road to the far right, it has to put upside down the credibility of the elections. The two important elements that can facilitate the triumph of the French extreme right for the French presidency of 2027.
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