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ECDC cards show that the second wave of COVID-19 has already reached its peak in Europe

  • The European Center for Prevention and Control of Covid-19 (ECDC) daily offers the cases and deaths per 100,000 inhabitants accumulated by the Western European states in the last 14 days, but each week summarizes the accumulation of these two main indicators in the last 14 days by European administrative regions colored on a map. Comparing this week’s map with the previous one, it can be understood that the second wave of the pandemic, which has been getting worse day by day, has already reached its peak in Europe and in some regions.

20 November 2020 - 17:09
COVID-19aren hedadura Europan 2020ko azaroaren 18aren aurreko 14 egunetan. (Irudia: ECDC)

"The European Center for Prevention and Control (ECDC) will soon need to enrich with more color the painting palette it uses in Western Europe to reflect the extension of COVID-19" was said at ARGIA on 30 October and ten days later ECDC did. Their letters now reflect much better – at least in terms of the pollution rate, not in terms of the number of deaths – the situation at every moment of the pandemic, if it is expanding – and where – or weakening. In the current formula, ECDC uses seven colors, from diffuse cream color to dark brown, the following contamination rates: Exceeding 0-20, 20-60, 60-120, 120-240, 240-480, 480-960 and 960.

At the head of this chronicle is the current situation, based on the dates of November 18, and after this paragraph we have put as it was the situation with the data of November 12 a week earlier. Comparing both, a worsening in the last week is observed in some countries: Poland and Sweden stand out, but also Germany and Italy. Iceland, the Czech Republic and the French State also improve. The rest is shown in colors and figures similar to those of the previous week, suggesting that they have managed to control the trend to the worst in the previous weeks.

Extension of COVID-19 in Europe during the 14 days prior to 12 November 2020. (Image: ECDC)

As its letters show, the pollution rates – always per 100,000 inhabitants – in European regions, the ECDC provides in tables the data for the last day per country. As for the rate of COVID-19 infections, Luxembourg collects with the date of 20 November 1,209 infections per 100,000 inhabitants in the last 14 days, Austria 1,081, Slovenia 958, Poland 869, Croatia 845, Czech Republic 843, Italy 801, Portugal 794, Lithuania 765, Hungary 756, Bulgaria 602. The most notable improvement has undoubtedly occurred in Belgium, which 20 days ago was affected by 1,481 cases of influenza a in the country. Regarding the Basque Country, in the CAV the rate of contagion stands at 753 and in Navarre at 479.

The mortality rate is, however, the most ruthless meter, which confirms the picture shown by the state of the contagion two or three weeks earlier. In the 14 days prior to 18 November, the Czech Republic has suffered 23.9 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, Belgium 22.5, Bulgaria 16.2, Poland 13.8, Hungary 13.5, Italy 12.7, Croatia 12.7, Franzia 12.1, Romania 10.6, Portugal 9.4, Austria 8.7, United Kingdom 8.5, Spain. In the CAV and in Navarra no calculation of this paragraph has been detected.

As Sweden always has a number of controversies about COVID-19, in the second wave it seems to continue to get the results that the former achieved, worse than Denmark, Norway, Finland, Latvia and Estonia in the nearby environment, both in terms of number of infections and deaths.


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