Despite interannual fluctuations, the prediction of the future of young people over the past decade has followed a downward trend. The data confirm this: The Basque Government publishes annually the Aurerra begira report, which shows the assessment of young people about their own situation and their future prospects. Data from the 2023 report show that the situation has worsened over the past ten years and that, in the view of young people, it will not improve in the coming years.
If in 2019 92% believed that within five years they would find work, by 2023, only 72% believed that they would find work.
The indicators for personal, youth and Álava, Bizkaia and Gipuzkoa are five points below 2019. When asked about one's own happiness, taking into account studies, family, leisure or mental health variables, the rating has dropped 10 points since 2015.
Moreover, despite the intention to have children, more than a quarter (26 per cent) point out that today it is impossible, mainly for economic reasons. Compared to 2017, the number of people reporting this situation, which was then 14%, has almost doubled.
On the other hand, when asking about the future, data does not improve: If in 2019 92% believed they had found work within five years, by 2023, only 72% believed it. I mean, there's been a 20 point drop. This fact is also reflected in the possibilities of emancipation: although within a year they would like to emancipate themselves, 43% say they will have to continue living with their parents or, although they have managed to become independent, they will have to return home against their will.
12% thought they were going to keep their jobs, but with worse conditions; in 2018 almost half (7%) said it
At the time of the survey, 27% of people working on wages thought they lost their jobs by one year, 4% more than in 2018. Another 12%, however, thought they were going to keep their work, but with worse conditions, something that in 2018 almost half (7%) said. Respondents were also asked if their overall situation would improve over the next five years, and 59 per cent of young people responded positively. In 2018, they did 75 percent.
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