In recent years, the extreme right is being imposed on the French State, and in the elections of 30 June it has been confirmed that it has been consolidated among the main parties: In 2017, the RN achieved 13.20% of the votes in the Basque Parliament, compared to 18.68% in 2022 and 34.36% in this period. That is, in 2017 it had eight Members, in 2022 it achieved 89 and, in view of the results of this first round, it is feasible for it to obtain an absolute majority of 289 Members. In particular, the development of the second round of 7 July will be unveiled, although the results of the first round suggest that it could reach between 240 and 270 seats. Even without an absolute majority, it has enormous possibilities of becoming the first force and this would involve the passage of a cohabitation government between the extreme right and Emmanuel Macron, whose position rests in Jordán Bardella of the RN or one of his relatives.

Faced with the risk of taking the extreme right to power, on 9 June the various voices – left-wing parties, a large group of majority Members and a large number of right-wing Members – accused President Macron of dissolving Parliament and of "playing with fire" by calling for the new elections. That is why, in view of the risk involved, voters have come to vote and the turnout has been the highest in the last 25 years: 66.7%. But if we look at the results, it is clear that the extreme right has also mobilized its supporters. With a participation of 66.7%, Macron is clearer than ever his message against reform. He has picked up a slap: In the first lap of 2022 he won 25.75% of the votes, which is five more points than in this one caused n.En 2017 he achieved an absolute majority, with 351 seats, but in 2022 he felt his opposition by popular vote, with 106 seats less, which allowed him to lose an absolute majority. On 9 June the French Parliament was disbanded and called to the elections to speed up the majority, but it was wrong: I could get between 60 and 90 Members.

Facing the second round, Macron has called for an "open, clearly Democratic and Republican unity," in which Republican leaders feel reluctant. Prime Minister Gabriel Attal has also clarified the following: "Not a single vote for RN." The slogan of the Ensemble coalition for Macron is to withdraw its candidature in the constituencies that have been placed in third place to facilitate the victory to those who live up to the RN. However, it has not been officially convened to support the New Popular Front on the left, although, in fact, the only option to cut the step to the RN is that of the left.

Those who have exceeded 12.5% of the votes of those registered – with a abstention of 33.3% and more than 19% – can go to the second round. The second round will be between the aspirants or either manomanists or between the three candidates. Due to the high turnout, competition between the three will be higher than ever: It can take place in 285 and 315 constituencies. In the three areas of Ipar Euskal Herria there is the possibility of having a competition in the form of a triangle. The deadline for submitting applications for the second round is open at 18:00 on 2 July. Until Tuesday afternoon, however, the negotiations and the voting slogans will be of great importance in the Basque Country.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, on behalf of the New Popular Front on the left, took the floor as soon as possible to decipher the results panorama of the first round: "Our slogan is simple, clear and forceful: no more than one vote or a chair for the RN". He has ordered his candidates to withdraw the block from the left in those constituencies in which it has been placed in third place.

The Republican right, for its part, has not given the slogan of vote - although its leader, Eric Ciotti, and the head of the list of European elections, François-Xavier Bellamy, clarifies that in the conflict between Left and Far Right they will vote in favour of the RN. The Republican Party has obtained 6.57% of the votes, and it is expected that it will be able to obtain between 30 and 50 Members, according to the calculations.

Looking at the second lap

Marine Lepen has underlined the importance of an absolute majority in the fact that the force of the extreme right has been confirmed. The RN would need 289 Members to obtain an absolute majority (89 in 2022) and it is feasible. Jordan Bardella has spoken forcefully against the left - "agents of chaos", "existential threats", "incendiary"... - and has also smoothed the application of RNs: "I will be the Prime Minister of coexistence, who respects the Constitution and the office of President of the Republic, but who rigorously conducts a policy that serves France and serves the French."

If we look at the 577 constituencies, the RN party has emerged as the first force in 297 areas, the New Popular Front in 155, including the three constituencies of Ipar Euskal Herria, and that of Macron only in 62, compared to 204 of the first lap of 2022. In the absence of a week for the second round of 7 July, a fuzzy atmosphere is foreseen for the second campaign in the different areas. Being the extreme right on the eve of coming to power, what will be the message to cut the path to the RN? In the messages before the first round, it has not been the dominant message – on the contrary, both the members of the government and the mainstream media have been building and pushing the phantom of the left, placing the "risk of the two extremes" in the same measure. Therefore, the LFI coordinator, Manuel Bompard, has encouraged the couple to end this "intolerable and unacceptable mechanism" in order to set up the France insubordinate that is part of the RN and the leftist block.

With more than 50% of the votes, there are also the first round nominees: 79 of the 577 Members, including 39 from the RN and 32 from the New Popular Front left.

In any case, these are two options for the new constitution of Parliament: either the extreme right RN gets an absolute majority, or the party of Macron is going to be even more minority, with the difficulty of carrying out its policy as before.