argia.eus
INPRIMATU
Coup d'état in Bolivia
Asier Blas Mendoza @AxiBM 2019ko azaroaren 25

Until the inauguration of Evo Morales as president, indigenous people and ethnic minorities lived in Bolivia under a segregation regime. The new left-wing government broke down this situation. Unlike South Africa, in Bolivia, democratization also extended to the economic sphere, reducing the gaps between rich and poor, rural and urban areas. From the socio-economic point of view, Evo's Bolivia has had some excellent micro and macro indicators, among others, for regaining control over its raw materials.

However, like the other leftist sovereign governments in Latin America, the Bolivian Government has acted in the midst of the hybrid war: the persecution of the media, the pressures of Western governments, violent mobilizations and attempts at a coup d ' état. In the West, emergency situations are declared for less, civil rights are suspended and the military is delayed to the streets.
In 2008, the opposition murdered dozens of indigenous people and peasants. The attempted coup d'état of that year did not go ahead, mainly thanks to Brazil and Lula da Silva, who lost the majority. Since then, leftist governments have received a terrible shock with soft and hard coups. However, the situation began to change by the victory of the Mexican and Argentine left and by the defeat of the attempted coup d’état of Venezuela and Nicaragua.

The coup d'état has been hard, first soft and then hard, to start the process and speed
up suspicions of electoral fraud.

In the short term, the right and the United States needed a major victory to cope with the strengthening of the Latin American left. The year 2019 seemed a good time, Evo’s mismanagement after the loss of the referendum in 2016 caused a gap between the support of the Bolivian Government. On the other hand, among the new middle classes, which were quickly accustomed to well-being, there were beginning to appear the clasile and racist attitudes of the old middle and upper classes. Finally, the Brazilian president is Jair Bolsonaro, who has the greatest weight in the region, as well as in the politics and economy of Bolivia.

The coup d'état has been hard, first soft and then hard, it has unleashed the suspicion that there is electoral fraud to speed up and initiate the process. To do so, the scenario is prepared before the elections, seeking and feeding the contradictions that exist in society, promoting the NGOs that will take on this agenda, organizing media campaigns and coordinating the opposition and international agents. Once the so-called virus of deception has been released, it spreads to every corner of the planet, regardless of whether it is true or not.

The Organization of American States (OAS) is part of the audit and scientifically botched. However, the result that Evo recognised with the call for new elections is not so rare when competition is tight, but has occurred in Austria. But it was useless, because from the beginning the intention was to give a hard coup d'état. However, the struggle of left-wing sovereign forces is not over. The main problem with the coup d'état is that it is a racist and classicist minority, and once beaten at one time or another they will have to regularize the situation in liberal and democratic terms, as they did more or less in Honduras. But in Bolivia, the relationship of forces is very different, the indigenous people are the majority, the sovereign forces are stronger. In the short term the coup can be maintained by force, but in the medium and long term the only possibility is to impose a military dictatorship. It doesn't seem viable, so your strategy is to chase and repress your political enemies to create fear, like shock therapy. Therapy cannot be maintained for a long time. It may be weeks, months or even years, but the sovereign left will return to the Government of Bolivia.