Iñigo Urkullu has a great chance of being lehendakari of the Basque Government, as according to the polls, the PNV will win the elections and therefore has a great chance of forming government alone with EH Bildu or the PSE-EE. We must not forget, however, that we are living times that are changing at all levels, hard for the citizens and demanding in the face of the political world. Hence the surprise to the Jeltzales. It seems contradictory that the citizens want change and then choose the PNV, which is the traditional party in the Basque institutions, but the Jeltzales manage to convey to the voters the image of security. That is an electoral phenomenon in the Basque Parliament, but, moreover, on this occasion, austerity has eroded Patxi López and not Urkullu.

Laura Mintegi is not going to win the election, no poll gives him that possibility, and furthermore, even if EH Bildu gets more seats, it would be difficult for him to access the Lehendakaritza, especially because he wouldn't be left with the others. The PNV does not seem to repeat the situation again in the Gipuzkoa Parliament, even more so with the Basque Government. In any case, ETA’s Basque policy is also a box of surprises: Does anyone remember in what survey it was announced that Juan Carlos Izagirre and Martín Garitano would be mayors of Donostia and general deputies of the Provincial Council?

However, it seems to Mintegi that being as close as possible to Urkullu would be a good result. And according to some surveys, this is possible: In the study published by Aztiker for Naiz and Gara, EH Bildu would be approaching the PNV. And it's possible, yes. There may be two important keys.

One, that a group of left-wing citizens who so far have not approached Bildu or Amaiur think that EH Bildu can do other kinds of policies. The other key is Catalan independence, which leads some citizens to a clear commitment to sovereignty, and that is EH Bildu. Faced with the doubts of the Jeltzales, the declaration of independence is clear in EH Bildu, I am and then does not delve into the issue of independence, which is a deeper and more complex issue. Finally, and although this factor does not appear in the surveys, it should not be ruled out that the only woman of the three candidates can have a shooting in front of many mujeres.Las accounts of the alliances can

be more exciting than the WINNER, as they will be indispensable: What crutches does the winner rule with? If it's the PNV, with the PSE-EE or EH Bildu? Or, if the numbers give, with the PP? Everything is wrong. In the face of the crisis, it would be more logical to act with the popular and socialists than with Bildu, since the PNV has supported the reforms of both; and, in short, because, like the other two, it is comfortable in this economic system mico.Pero there are also drawbacks: How do you relate to the PP that sucks at least on Basque lands? How does it break all the bridges with the PSE?

The PNV-EH Bildu government will be the most difficult option. Major differences in major projects and social models make joint work extremely difficult. In any event, the legislature should make use of to strengthen the key areas in the identity of this people, either from the government or from Parliament. Failure to do so would be unforgivable. The fight against the crisis will have to be prioritised, yes, but we must also seize this special occasion to deepen the peace process and definitively close the hardest chapters of the conflict, particularly those involving victims and prisoners.

Finally, on 21 October there will be a truth and a lie. The truth is that the Abertzale character of the citizenship of the CAV, which has been covered for several reasons, has long been apparent. Madrid is aware of this, and it is the colonial electoral reform it has announced for the next legislature. And this is false. The Patxi López Government has ended ETA. There is no doubt that the repression of the Spanish Government has influenced the decision of ETA, but as Bildu, Amaiur and now EH Bildu demonstrate, the change of the Abertzale left has been the key to that decision. To each of you, yours.