When the 2008 financial collapse plunged the world into a widespread economic crisis, the Labour market was in power in the UK. Prime Minister Gordon Brown did not invent recipes for dealing with the crisis. The loss of power occurred after the resignation of Gordon Brown in 2010, when he lost the presidency. They have since been in opposition, in the shadow of conservative governments.

The polls predict a victory for Labour in the elections next Thursday, according to the polls. Fourteen years later, the presidential candidate, Keir Starmer, would become the prime minister. According to the latest survey conducted by Ipsos, Labour could obtain 453 representatives with 43% of the votes, followed by the conservative party Rishi Sunak, with 115 representatives, with 25% of the votes. Liberals would be placed in third place with 10% of the votes in favour. The Labour Party would have a real chance of obtaining an absolute majority in a chamber with 650 Members.

In Scotland there has also been a political change in COVID-19 research. The resignations of Nicola Sturgeon and Humza Yousaf leave the Scottish National Party (SNP) in a weak position, a situation that the Labour Party could benefit from. According to the study, the Labour Party could take several seats on the Scottish nationalists, including the 6 representatives of Glasgow on the table. Wales abertzales are expected to repeat 2019 results with a result of 2-5 seats.

Rishi Sunas and the sinking of the conservative party

The Conservative Party is on the verge of achieving the worst result in its history. Brexit would be the first reason why you were looking for a reason. It is worth reading the article Brexitland by María Ramírez, vice-director of the newspaper and expert on international issues, in which the country reports on the economic and social problems of the departure of the European Union. From the eyes of the journalist who lives in the country, he describes the concerns of the primary sector and the hospitality industry. In his view, the breakdown with Europe has led to a substantial worsening of the working and living conditions of citizens from different backgrounds working in these sectors. The glory of Brexit has become a discomfort for some sectors of society.

Another possible responsibility for this potential collapse is the social upheaval caused by the cuts made by conservatives in certain public services in these fourteen years. The clearest example is the critical situation of the UK National Health System. An Oxford University study has shown that conservative policies for managing health services by subcontracting are directly related to rising mortality rates.

The health service crisis was closely linked to the mobilisations of the British labour movement in recent years in 2022 and 2023 and to the stronger general strikes. When the workers managed to paralyse the major railway stations and ports, the government led by Sunak was seriously compromised.

It must be remembered that the government was in a hurry when the Labour candidate, Keir Starmer, chose to relax the environment rather than support the workers’ mobilizations. With this attitude he showed the intention of the policies he will implement in case Starmer wins. Leftist journalist Oliver Eagleton has done an X-ray of Starmer's project: a journey to the right. In his view, Starmer’s national renewal has more to do with Tony Blair’s liberal social policies, which was known as the third way, than with a more left-wing line driven by Labour in recent years.

Who is Keir Starmer? The return of the third Blair route?

Starmer achieved the leadership of the Labour Party in the midst of the pandemic in 2020 as a relay to Jeremy Corbyn. Referring to the electoral beating suffered by the latter in 2019, Starmer clearly addressed Labour militants to give way to a milder stage that would end Corbyn’s left-wing line.

Several militants have denounced that at this new stage some of the representatives of the left who did not agree with the direction taken by the party have been expelled. In the midst of the electoral race, it has been known that the leadership has blocked Faiza Shaheen’s candidature for denouncing the Israeli massacre on social media.

The Catalan journalist Lucas Font, in an article published in the Newspaper, points out that the case of Faiza Shaheen is not an isolated case and that Starmer's management is making more statements. Many have raised their voices in recent weeks against Starmer's measures and denounced discrimination. Perhaps the most symbolic was Owen Jones, a well-known left-wing writer and Labour militant.

Chavs: demonization of the working class or Stabilishmint: Jones is known for his uncovered caste books. Critical of the direction the party has taken in recent years, he just wrote in The Guardian: “I bring the Labour Party into the blood. That is why I have put an end to my militancy,” in his article, he announced his intention to leave the Labour Party. It has also strongly criticised the exclusion of Labour militants and representatives from the left-wing line led by Starmer and added at the end of the column: “Conservatives’ chances of victory are very small. What matters now is whether anyone who wants to redistribute wealth and power is denied a voice in Starmer’s administration. That is, of course, the ambition of its representatives. When the inevitable disillusion of a government rooted in deceit is announced that it will not solve Britain’s problems, it will be the radical right that will benefit.”

This internal conflict in Labour does not seem to jeopardize Starmer's victory. What is clear is that the exclusion of candidates such as Faiza Shaheen or the abandonment of militants such as Owen Jones have placed the party on the third road.