- In view of the results obtained in the three General Meetings, nothing seems to have changed, but the outcome, analysed by country, reveals some changes.
In Álava, the decrease in pp stands out, with 12,000 votes less, one third less than in the previous election date. But also that Elkarrekin Podemos has only obtained half of the votes that Podemos and Irabazi had. The PSE is the party that has risen the most, ahead of the PNV, which has fallen slightly. EH Bildu has won a juntero, although he has lost some votes.
The reason for these changes? The PNV has used the voice of fear very well, against EH Bildu. The pp has been cast, but without repeating what happened in the Spanish elections, in which EH Bildu has removed the pp.
In Gipuzkoa, the PNV has won the duel between PNV and EH Bildu. Despite the small difference in the votes, the PNV has won two junters and junctions by an absolute majority. The PSE has won almost 4,000 votes in favour, but it has been a long way from the rise it has achieved in Bizkaia and Álava.
And what looking forward? In that respect, I do not believe that anything will change, the agreement between the PNV and the PSE will be ratified in the three Foreign Ministers.
Why hasn't EH Bildu overcome the PNV? In Gipuzkoa, the PNV has also carried out a very aggressive campaign against EH Bildu, but, contrary to what happened in several municipalities, EH Bildu has not obtained sufficient confidence to govern the Deputy. Reason requires a more patient analysis.
Bizkaia, I would say, is the one that has changed the least. The PNV has brought out two more seats, one to pp and one to EH Bildu, but it has not achieved an absolute majority, and the PSE has brought one more to pp.
And what looking forward? In that respect, I do not believe that anything will change, the agreement between the PNV and the PSE will be ratified in the three Members. On the election night I listened to the leaders of the PNV who will talk to all parties, ready to reach agreements with everyone. I don't think so. In the previous legislature, other agreements were possible and did not emerge from the majority held by the PNV and the PSE. I do not believe them, because even though there is a chance of obtaining larger majorities, they do not like them, because they fear that they will jeopardize their superiority. I refer to the PNV and EH Bildu agreement.