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INPRIMATU
ANALYSIS
Victory of a reformist in Iran, in full geopolitical stress
Sheida Besozzi 2024ko uztailaren 11
Masoud Pezeshkian erreformistak irabazi ditu Irango hauteskunde presidentzialak, uztailaren 5eko bigarren itzulian.

The Iranian people were called on on 28 June last to vote to elect their new president, at a particularly difficult time at geopolitical level, for the genocide against the Palestinian people of the Israeli Government and the role that countries such as Iran play in that network. These unexpected elections, scheduled for 2025, have been brought forward due to the recent death of Ebrahim Raisi, president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo of Africa. The ultra-conservative Raisi died in a helicopter accident on 19 May, in a situation still to be determined. Raisi, considered a yes man [who does what they command] in much of the Iranian people, was the favorite for the succession of Ali Khamenak Aiatola. Ali Khamenak Aiatola has been the supreme leader of Iran since 1989 and the most powerful of all levels of political, judicial, military and national security power.

Finally, six representatives have been able to follow the electoral process. Two of them agreed to reverse. Alireza Zakani, mayor of the capital Tehran and Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi, government official. Two other candidates did not obtain sufficient votes: Conservative parliamentarian Mohammad Bagher Ghalibafe (3.38 million votes) and Islamic leader Mostafa Pourmohammadi (206,397 votes) were elected by an absolute majority. The majority of the votes were for two candidates: The ultra-conservative Saeed Khalili (EUR 9.47 million) and the reformist Masoud Pezeshkian (EUR 10.41 million) are the main drivers of the project. Candidates Ghalibaf, Zakani and Ghazizadeh have called the ultra-conservative candidate to support the triumph of the "revolutionary front", which faces Dumoulin and Sarkozy.

The Iranians are burned, but they do not lose hope and demonstrate this by not participating in the elections on 28 June in an act of civil disobedience

Only 39.9% of Iranians went to the ballot box on 28 June, which prompted a second ballot scheduled for 5 July. This apathy to the people’s elections, that of the youngest, above all, must be read as a general discontent towards their government, accentuated since 2022 by retaliation for the Women, Life, Freedom movement. It is also a mistrust towards a system of government which has reduced the power of the president and which, therefore, takes power away from his people. The Iranians are burned, but they have not lost hope and that is what they demonstrated on 28 June by not participating in an act of civil disobedience in the elections. This small turnout is nothing new. In the past presidential elections only 48.8% of the population voted, and in the last parliamentary elections in March and May only 41.1%, the lowest percentage since the Iranian Revolution in 1979.

The second and final round of the elections was held last Friday, 5 July, with the candidature of the ultra-conservative Khalili and the reformist Pezeshkian. Pezeshkian imposed, with 53.7% of the votes, on a candidate that the Western powers value with very good eyes. The Iranian people voted to pledge improvements in the area of civil liberties, more specifically with regard to gender equality, social justice and economic negotiations, the lifting of penalties and the fall in inflation. Although low, the turnout on 5 July was 10 points higher than on 28 June and stood at 50%. Although the main power is in the hands of the supreme leader, the president is the second: he has decision-making power in the national political and economic spheres, but also in foreign policy. It is not the same, therefore, for an Iranian president to be ultra-conservative and reformist. It remains to be seen how these elections will affect the current geopolitical landscape. For the Iranian people, the results are encouraging.