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INPRIMATU
The tip of the right triumphs in the French State, looking at the Bourbon Palace
  • The RN National Union of Le Pen has been imposed in the French State, with 31.37% of the votes. The French President, Emmanuel Macron, has lost strength and decided to dissolve the French Parliament as a response. Macron calls for the new elections: 30 June has passed the first round, the second on 7 July.
Jenofa Berhokoirigoin @Jenofa_B 2024ko ekainaren 10

Confirmed: The National Union Le Penen RN has been imposed in the French State. The list of young politician Jordan Bardella, 28, has received 31.37% of the votes and will have 30 seats in Brussels. The situation is worrying, because it has 7,765,562 voters, almost 2,500,000 more votes than the previous elections. The waves of the earthquake have felt to the French Parliament: President Emmanuel Macron takes Bourbon's stand by calling for new elections, which will take place on 30 June and 7 July. The Renaissance de Macron party has remained second, after five years of weight loss: almost 1,500,000 fewer votes and 14.60% of the votes, has moved away from the RN. The tip of the right goes ahead in the French state, making the superiority clearer: if in 2019 the list of Bardella (23.34%) and Nathalie Loiseau (22.42%) of the Macron party (16.77 points of difference) were very close in this period.

Ecologists are also on the list of big losers: If in 2019 he won 13 seats and third, the European Ecology Party (13.48%), in this period he lost more than 1,690,000 votes and received 5.50% of the votes and was in sixth place, with eight seats lost. Although the Republican has lost the votes on the right, he remains in a similar proportion, despite having lost two seats. However, the left goes up: The Socialist Party has been strengthened by almost two million votes since 2019, from 6.19% to 13.83%. The French Under-Mass, on the far left, has won one million votes. Thus, the far right has 30 MEPs in Brussels, the Macron party and the left thirteen, the far left nine, the right six, the ecologists five and the fascist party Reconquete another five.

Dissolution of Parliament

As soon as he was aware of the results, Macron reported on Parliament’s dissolution agreement: "I can't do anything like it hadn't happened. (...) Let us give the floor to the sovereign people, it's not something more Republican." He knew the dissolution of the French Parliament and exploited the joy among the extremists on the right. In Bourbon’s paleton you see winners and Marine Le Pen’s party will conduct a passionate campaign. The left is worried by accusing the French president of "playing with fire." In the elections held in 2022, the RN ranked second with 88 seats. In order to obstruct the triumph of the tip of the right, the left should be united, and meetings have already begun, although today they are divided, with the aim of achieving that unity.

The elections are held in two rounds and the votes obtained in more than 12.5 per cent of the votes of the registered voters would pass on to the second round. If the path is to be cut in the first round to the right corner, the left side must overcome the partitions in order to occupy the position of the RN in the second. Macron’s risky strategy may be that the left will not agree to unity and that in that case the votes of the left would be divided and would be the right end between the candidates of the second round. In this scenario, Macron can expect that, thanks to his "useful vote", he will achieve the parliamentary majority to hinder the extreme right – to vote in favour of the other candidate, whether he likes it or not. Everything is a parium, a dangerous pariium.

In the 2022 election the Macron Party won, with 159 seats out of 577, with the 88 deputies from the far-right RN, the 74 from the far left, the 57 from the right-wing Republicans, the 50 from the center-right Democrats and the 30 from the Horizon list, the 27 independent from the Socialist Party, the other 22 from the center independent. In these last elections the Left did not agree on unity for the benefit of the extreme right.