In the state as a whole, the decrease in pp has been remarkable, the rise in SC as well, but not the one they expected, and VOX has not achieved in any case the result that many surveys predicted. In general, the right has gone back. On the other hand, the Left is moving forward and the PSOE is prepared to form a government with the United Nations We Can and other supports.
But saying this is nothing. That is what can happen, but we do not know if it will. A member of the Government has today explained his intention to form a government on its own, although he has not yet done so. And what is clear is that the truth is that we will know nothing until we leave behind the elections on 26 May, especially because the PSOE will not explain it to defend its interests.
It has been a curious phenomenon that in these general elections the vote moves from national parties to Basque parties, as in this way it is possible to consolidate the vote, which will be very difficult to return to state-level parties in elections of another level.
“Do it. The campaign motto of the PSOE “Make Happen” should now take its real meaning; from now on, everything that needs to be done has to be done. And this, of course, will not be possible if any government is formed, if any kind of support is obtained or if it is achieved without it. I do not know what kind of negotiations are going to take place, but it is no wonder that the United Nations can set up a strong government programme and that the Catalan independence parties, if their support is needed, at least – especially ERC – make serious demands. And the PNV also has its easy approach: to comply with the outstanding issues of the last legislature (transfers), although this should be in the hands of the Basque Government.
In the Autonomous Community of the Basque Country, things have become even clearer: There is no trace of the Spanish right: Pp has disappeared and neither CS nor Vox have appeared. It is clear that the votes lost by the PP have gone to a large extent to the PNV, opening the “right centre” of it. On the other hand, on the left, the results cannot be more significant: The PSE-EE has gone ahead, as has EH Bildu, and Elkarrekin Podemos back, from where the votes have moved to the other two forces.
It has been a curious phenomenon that in these general elections the vote moves from national parties to Basque parties, as this can consolidate that vote, which will be very difficult to return to state-level parties in a different level of elections. On the other hand, the new picture indicates that, if similar results are achieved – as was possible in the last legislature, but much more clearly – a left-wing Basque Government could be formed. It will then be seen whether the PSE-EE is willing to do so, i.e. to form a government with Elkarrekin Podemos and EH Bildu.