argia.eus
INPRIMATU
Central Asia: the Great Native Game
Mikel Aramendi 2023ko maiatzaren 08a
Maiatzaren hasieran Indiako Goa estatuan bildu diren SCO antolakundeko herrialdeetako kanpo aferetarako ministroak / Argazkia: Indiako Kanpo Harremanetarako Ministerioa

It looks like 20 years have passed, or you know how much. But the truth is that only twenty months were the United States of America in Kabul. As they were, after twenty years of war. It is no wonder that the most faithful mozos in this area do not want to remember it. In this way, there has been a silence, mixed with the usual pessimistic news coming from there, and what would otherwise be pirate news: that the Taliban, who control their Ministry of the Interior, the Haqani, born to see, have recently murdered the organisation of the great massacre at Kabul airport on 26 August 2021.

However, this media blackout among us should not blur the perspective, the sharpness of the gaze. We were able to see it live in August of 2021, almost certainly the end of the 200-year historical cycle. Finish of the Great Game. The Western powers, first the British Empire and the Russian Empire; then the Soviet Union and the United States, to have control of the middle tables of the Eurasian chess table, helped and helped in Central Asia a steady succession of wars and clashes. In the most crude sense of geopolitics.

When on 15 February 1989 General Gromov went through Amu Darya and finished the Soviet intervention in Afghanistan, like Zbigniew Brzezinski, they thought it was a matte chess game. But no, and he could also see no. And the 2021 Kabulgo may not be completely finished either.

But the next 20 months are announcing profound changes in Central Asia. The test could be the one seen last week at the summit of the Goa SCO organization in the State of India, but earlier what was done in Samarkana or the frenetic diplomatic displacements taking place in the region must be thought along the same lines. Another Great Game is already underway in Central Asia.

On the one hand, because the main instrument has changed: politics, diplomacy, alliances, economic plans have shifted war and conflict. And not only the clashes between countries, but also their internal incursions have decreased one or more bleeding. Time will tell whether or not the trend is permanent.

And on the other hand, the protagonists and their gradation have changed. Two are still big, but none of them is from the past. China and India are “indigenous” and superior to the former European powers. Russia, Pakistan and Iran are now participating in the Game in the background of “indigenous” powers. And in the middle, small “stan” (population, relatively), but always possessing many resources not only interesting for the big ones, but also fundamental: location, raw materials…