argia.eus
INPRIMATU
ANALYSIS | UKRAINE WAR
The United States eating popcorn on the hill… and the European Union?
Zigor Olabarria Oleaga @zoleaga1 2022ko maiatzaren 10a
Argazkia: Reuters

In January and February, when the invasion of Ukraine had not begun, but the noise of war already surprised me: the way to prevent war and to bring about a solution to the conflict was going to be the dialogue between the US and Russia governments or directly between Putin and Biden. Surprisingly, because no one was disturbed at those so-called tables by not making a room for Ukraine – albeit with respect for the minimum democratic theatre – nor for the European Union – if it is a matter of geopolitics and power, what I know, for the so-called power adjoining Ukraine, again with respect for the least theatrical theatre. The Western political and media initiative was clearly in the hands of the United States. I was even more surprised at how the United States came to the background with the war on fire, leaving the leading role in the hands of the European Union. But the US-marked script remained in the hands of the European Union. Of these early days are the militaristic expressions of the “general”, Josep Borrell, led by the EU’s diplo-ma-zi, which equate talking about diplomatic channels with Russia’s complicity.

Since then, I cannot understand the EU’s position. Not because I expected nothing in terms of justice. But because I didn't think it was going to depend so much economically and politically on EE.UU, in purely capitalist and geopolitical terms.

"If the damage is so obvious to the European Union, perhaps the most interesting question is what mechanisms are the United States using to impose its policies on Europe?"

I have recently read The invasion of Ukraine (Invasion of Ukraine), journalist and university professor Rafael Poch, which is resulting in an excellent reading to contextualize and historically understand what is happening. And the only thing that surprised me is that the European countries have at times tried to build other relations with Russia. For example, in 1990 the European countries signed the Paris Charter, including the USSR. “The era of confrontation and division has ended in Europe (...) The security of each state is intimately related to the security of others,” the letter said. Or, in 2014, in the heat of the brawls and deaths in Maidan Square, the EU reached an agreement for an ‘orderly’ solution to the conflict with Russian President Yanukovich. EE.UU frustrated these initiatives, either directly or through NATO, influencing Ukraine's internal policy ...

America's attitude can be denounceable, but it's very easy to understand. Unleashing economic and political relations between the EU and Russia, it unites the EU in a short chain in the competition of global political hegemony, and in the coming years it will make a round business selling arms and gas (much more expensive than Russia’s). But, in the most selfish sense of the word, what is the EU’s benefit? A war has erupted without clear consequences on its lands, it has lost its strategic business with Russia, it has conditioned its relations with China, it is deepening its economic and political weakening ... (Of course we will pay for it by the modest citizens).

If the damage is so obvious to the EU, perhaps the most interesting question is what mechanisms are the US using to impose its policies on Europe? Does it threaten? Seduction? Bribe? Promoting distribution between EU countries? Influence countries directly on governments?... In what proportion are each? It would be good to take it to public debate, to open up at least one window of opportunity for the EU to work a little autonomy. To stop deepening the disaster would not be enough, much less, but it would be essential.